Here are eight totally bogus correlations between the World Cup and economics

May 28, 2014
May 28, 2014

“Is there any link between football and economic success?,” asks Goldman Sachs in a fairly comprehensive note released this morning on the World Cup, which begins in just over two weeks in Brazil.  “Almost certainly not. However, we didn’t let this mere fact stop us from trawling the data for some spurious correlations between the two.”

We all know that correlation doesn’t equal causation but here are some of the more interesting (and in many cases tenuous) examples unearthed by Goldman Sachs’s analysis.

Tournament wins and economic growth

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Red cards and domestic violence

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Goal “disinflation” and falling global consumer prices

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“Azzuri” success and Italian asset prices

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Japan success and Nikkei 225 declines

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Dutch house prices and team performance (relative to neighbor Germany)

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Poor England performances and UK economic growth

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Japan’s aging population problem extends to its soccer team

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For the record, Goldman’s model tips host nation Brazil as favorites

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And the odds suggest Argentina’s Leo Messi will be top scorer

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