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HBO Game of Thrones season 7
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Cersei’s not a great bet to hold onto the throne.
DEAD POOL

Bookmakers have calculated the odds on who will win and who will die in “Game of Thrones”

By Adam Epstein

Outside of baseball and Wimbledon, there isn’t much going on right now in major professional sports. Basketball and hockey leagues have ended their seasons, the English Premier League and Spanish La Liga are still a month away, and American football teams have yet to even begin training camp.

Naturally, sports bettors are turning to another competitive enterprise to wager on: the highly anticipated new season of Game of Thrones.

The HBO show’s seventh and penultimate season begins Sunday, July 16. Several betting markets around the world have updated their odds on which character will be the first to die, which will assume the Iron Throne by season’s end, and which will ultimately sit on the throne when the show ends for good next year.

You can actually bet real money on these odds, though be sure to check your country’s online gambling laws before making any wagers. (Americans should also consult their states’ laws.)

Who will win the throne this season?

(per international bookmaker Bovada)

CharacterOdds on who will sit on the Iron Throne at the end of season seven
Cersei Lannister2/7
Jon Snow3/1
Daenerys Targaryen4/1
Petyr Baelish7/1
Tyrion Lannister12/1
Gendry20/1
Bran or Benjen Stark20/1
Jaime Lannister25/1
Arya Stark33/1
Sansa Stark40/1
Theon Greyjoy50/1
Davos Seaworth50/1
The Night King66/1
Varys66/1
Euron Greyjoy66/1

Our picks:

  • At 2/7 odds, Cersei isn’t a wise bet. She will start the season on the Iron Throne, but with so many enemies, how long can she hold onto it?
  • Sansa Stark is a good value at her low 40/1 odds. She’s the rightful heir to the North, and has the cunning Petyr Baelish at her disposal, should she need him.
  • At 66/1, Euron Greyjoy is also not a bad bet. All indications are that he will be this season’s “big bad” villain, and trailers suggest he may seek an alliance with the Lannisters.

Who will be first (of many) to perish?

(per British bookmaker Ladbrokes)

CharacterOdds on who will die first
Any of the Sand Snakes7/4
Yara Greyjoy4/1
Ellaria Sand9/2
Petyr Baelish5/1
Melisandre6/1
Theon Greyjoy7/1
Euron Greyjoy9/1
The Hound10/1
The Mountain10/1
Brienne of Tarth12/1
Olenna Tyrell12/1
Davos Seaworth12/1
Samwell Tarly14/1
Cersei Lannister16/1
Jorah Mormont16/1
Bran Stark20/1
Jaime Lannister20/1
Arya Stark66/1
Daenerys Targaryen100/1
Jon Snow100/1
Sansa Stark100/1
Tyrion Lannister100/1

Our picks:

  • Everyone expects those poorly written Sand Snakes to go. Not great value.
  • Daenerys, Jon, Sansa, and Tyrion appear to be safe (for now), but at 100/1 odds you wouldn’t have to risk much to cash in big time.
  • All three Greyjoys are in serious danger.

Who will sit atop the Iron Throne when Game of Thrones ends in 2018?

(per Ladbrokes)

CharacterOdds on who ultimately wins the Iron Throne when the show ends
Daenerys Targaryen2/1
Jon Snow12/5
Tyrion Lannister7/1
Sansa Stark9/1
Arya Stark10/1
Cersei Lannister10/1
Vacant Throne10/1
Gendry12/1
Petyr Baelish14/1
The Night King16/1
Bran Stark18/1
Jaime Lannister20/1
Aegon Targaryen28/1
Euron Greyjoy28/1
Varys33/1
Jaqen H’ghar50/1
Theon Greyjoy50/1
Brienne of Tarth60/1
Any of the Sand Snakes66/1
Robin Arryn66/1
Yara Greyjoy66/1

Our picks:

  • If Daenerys doesn’t grab the throne this year, it’s a good bet that she’ll do so by the time the show ends, though at 2/1 odds there isn’t much value there.
  • Petyr Baelish is unlikely to fulfill his dream of sitting on the Iron Throne, with Sansa at his side. Some say to never bet against “Littlefinger”—except when real money’s involved.
  • Again, Sansa is a good value bet at 9/1 odds. Wouldn’t it be fitting if the story came full circle, beginning with the death of Ned Stark and ending with the crowning of his daughter?

Other bookmakers, like SkyBet, have slightly different odds, but when it comes to winning the Iron Throne at the end, Daenerys Targaryen is still the favorite on every betting site.