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SAFE CRIMINALS

A lesson from the midterms: Commit scandals after you’ve been elected

Midterm candidates in scandals mostly won re-election
AP Photo/Craig Ruttle
New Jersey senator Bob Menendez won by 8 points despite a corruption scandal.
By Max de Haldevang
Published Last updated This article is more than 2 years old.

The 2018 midterms have an important lesson for every aspiring corrupt politician out there: commit your scandals after you’re elected to high office.

Incumbents, it seems, have rather a lot of leeway when facing scandals. Yesterday’s electorate cared not a bit about California representative Duncan Hunter and his wife Margaret Hunter’s indictments for alleged campaign finance crimes. Voters looked the other way as New Jersey senator Bob Menendez allegedly took gifts from a wealthy doctor while using his office to further that doctor’s interests. Representative Chris Collins’s insider trading charges weren’t enough to stop him from squeaking out a victory in New York’s 27th district.

The polling gurus at FiveThirtyEight counted 11 men (yes, these were all men) up for re-election this year while also facing fresh scandals—i.e. ones allegedly committed since their last election. Eight of those incumbents won.

Rep. Rod Blum (R-Iowa)
Lost
Failing to disclose a conflict of interest
Rep. Tony Cárdenas (D-California)
Won
Molesting a teenager
Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio)
Won
Overlooking sexual abuse
Rep. Scott Taylor (R-Virginia)
Lost
Possible campaign law violations
Rep. Chris Collins (R-New York)
Won
Insider trading
Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-California)
Won
Campaign finance violations
Rep. Dana Rohrabacher (R-California)
Lost
Very close ties to Russia
Rep. David Schweikert (R-Arizona)
Won
Mis-spending official funds; campaign finance violations
Rep. Bobby Scott (D-Virginia)
Won (uncontested)
Sexual harassment
Gov. Henry McMaster (R-South Carolina)
Won
Campaign finance violations
Sen. Bob Menendez (D-New Jersey)
Won
Not disclosing gifts

In addition, Minnesota elected Democrat Keith Ellison, who has been one of the state’s representatives since 2007, as its new attorney general, despite high-profile allegations of domestic abuse.

By contrast, new candidates facing scandals had a terrible night; all 12 men (again, all men) lost their race.

Many of those were no-hopers, like Omar Navarro, the 29-year-old fringe GOP activist running against California Democratic stalwart Maxine Waters, who has been in office longer than he’s been alive—and, unlike Navarro, hasn’t been accused of putting a tracking device on a spouse’s car.

However, four of them were Republicans running in districts currently held by their party. In theory, they should have had a decent chance of winning in areas that had gone Republican at the last election, but all four lost:

Sec. of state Kris Kobach (R-Kansas)
Lost
Contempt of court
Attorney gen. Adam Laxalt (R-Nevada)
Lost
Assaulting a police officer
Marty Nothstein (R-Pennsylvania)
Lost
Sexual misconduct
Attorney gen. Bill Schuette (R-Michigan)
Lost
Under FBI investigation for unspecified reasons; previous reporting alleged he used his position to favor GOP activists

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