Good morning, Quartz readers!
What to watch for today
The US election campaign gets back underway for the final sprint. The campaign took a break during Hurricane Sandy, and on Oct. 31, President Barack Obama had an unusually friendly tour of flooded New Jersey with one of his chief critics, state governor Chris Christie. But he returns to the campaign trail today, including a speech in Las Vegas. With just five days left to voting day, expect some of the most heated rhetoric of the tight campaign.
Don’t take today’s US jobs report too seriously. Jobs are the single biggest issue in the election, and tomorrow sees the release of the crucial datum that could swing the outcome, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) new jobs figure for October. Today, however, sees the ADP employment report, a private survey that always precedes the BLS report by one day. Expect the media to make a hullaballoo about it, but pay no attention; the ADP and BLS numbers can diverge by as much as 100,000 jobs in either direction, and it’s the latter report that counts for political purposes.
Don’t take today’s Chinese manufacturing report too seriously either. China releases its official purchasing managers’ index (PMI). This indicator of how manufacturing is doing is closely watched because it offers a window into the health of China’s slowing economy. But most China-watchers set greater store by the independent PMI produced by HSBC. The most recent HSBC PMI was below 50—indicating that the sector is contracting—for the 12th straight month, although the contraction had slowed. The official PMI, after contracting for two months, is expected to show an expansion.
How well is ExxonMobil doing? The largest publicly traded oil company reports its quarterly earnings. The company is a bellwether for the industry as a whole. Expectations are for lower year-on-year earnings than in 2011. But the company has missed analyst estimates for three straight quarters, and the market will look for an indication of how it intends to increase production.
Will they or won’t they cancel the world’s largest marathon? New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg says the 42-year-old New York Marathon with its 47,000 runners will go on as scheduled on Nov. 4. Registration of runners is scheduled to begin on Nov. 1. But there is pushback from city residents and runners themselves. For one thing, critics wonder about diverting the attention of emergency crews from service surrounding the cleanup of the city following Hurricane Sandy. Despite Bloomberg’s statement, organizers are still waiting for the official city go-ahead.
While you were sleeping
Much of New York City remains without power. The New York Stock Exchange was one of the few buildings with electricity in Lower Manhattan on Oct. 31, as trading resumed after a two-day closure because of Hurricane Sandy. More than 6 million people were still without electricity, according to US officials. Some subway service and two of New York’s major airports reopened, but water on the runways kept La Guardia Airport closed, and more than 19,000 flights overall had been canceled.
Europeans keep on losing jobs. Eurostat reported record-high unemployment of 10.6% for the 27-nation European Union, and 11.6% for the 17-member euro zone, the highest percentages on record from data going back to 1995. Southern Europe is the hardest hit—Spain is the worst with 25.8% joblessness—while Austria, Luxembourg, Germany and the Netherlands all reported rates of 5.4% or less.
Barclay’s seems to be in trouble again. The bank’s share price plunged 4.7% on Oct. 31 after it disclosed US bribery and price-fixing investigations. In June, Barclay’s paid a $450 million fine to settle charges of rigging Libor rates. Now, it says the US is looking “into whether the group’s relationships with third parties who assist Barclays to win or retain business are compliant” with anti-bribery laws. Barclays also said it may be fined for violations of US electricity trading laws.
They got My Blood. Alleged Colombian drug lord Henry de Jesús López Londoño, known as “Mi Sangre” (My Blood), was arrested in the Argentine capital of Buenos Aires. In a tweet, Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos said the arrest was the result of a joint operation between his own and Argentine authorities. Lopez is wanted in both Colombia and the US on charges of organized crime, drug trafficking and terrorism.
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has been making enemies at home. Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said government officials who squabble publicly are guilty of “treason.” His tirade was aimed at President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who last week traded barbs with judiciary chief Ayatollah Sadeq Larijani. It’s a sign of the growing tensions between the president and the clerical class ahead of next year’s elections, when each will jockey for influence in choosing Ahmadinejad’s successor.
Quartz obsession interlude
Mitra Kalita on why, despite the mania over the iPhone and the Samsung Galaxy, she is loyal to her Blackberry. ”I’m the kind of woman Apple wants: a working mother who makes most household-purchase decisions and who views her phone as an extension of self. And yet every time the tech giant puts on a grand product ‘unveiling,’ I feel a bit like the kid who sits alone at lunch. I’m the last one hanging on, it seems, to my BlackBerry.” Read more here.
Matters of debate
Did New Yorkers have to sit their and see their beloved subways flooded? Nope. If only they had just built their city differently.
Nigeria and Norway produce about the same volume of oil each day. From there, the two countries diverge on topics ranging from the flying habits of their rulers to how they distribute their oil revenue. The main difference—accountability.
Apart from divorces, battles over lucrative patents may be the most bitter and unseemly cases of legal contention on the planet. Since invention is only rarely a sole endeavor, the debate centers not only on covetousness, but on doubts about ownership. Take this example of a device invented for closing wounds: should it have been granted a patent?
The geopolitics of candy is flat.
What do epileptic seizures, financial crises and fishery collapses have in common? That is the task of complexity theory to figure out.
Why are rhinos generally arthritic? Evolution suggests it is a byproduct of their very indestructibility.
The Stanley Hotel in Estes Park, Colorado, is haunted, according to far-flung lore. Therefore, it keeps a paranormal concierge on staff. She is Lisa Nyhart.
Russia’s Vladimir Putin has a new presidential limousine to beat anything 007 Daniel Craig will show up in.
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