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A U.S.-led coalition aircraft flying over Kobanii, as seen from near the Mursitpinar border crossing on the Turkish-Syrian border in the southeastern town of Suruc in Sanliurfa province October 15, 2014.
Reuters/Kai Pfaffenbach
Bombers like these bring bad news for ISIL.
BURNED

ISIL is suffering a big oil hit

Among the petro-actors hurting right now is the Islamic State. As prices take another tumble today—oil hit new lows last seen in October 2010—ISIL is suffering not just lower income, but lost production. According to the International Energy Agency, US-led bombing runs have taken out most of the militant group’s production.

ISIL still controls fields capable of producing 20,000 barrels of oil a day, along with small refineries that can process it into fuel, the IEA says. That is considerable volume and could be earning ISIL some $500,000 dollars a day if it is able to move it at, say, $20 a barrel on the black market, plus providing fuel for its own vehicles. That’s much less than the most sober estimates of what it was earning after sweeping through Iraq over the summer, $1-2 million a day.

Brent oil, the global benchmark, traded today as low as $83.37 a barrel as of this writing. That’s 27% off the price last June, a hit to all oil producers, including radical Islamic armies.

The biggest damage to ISIL however come from bombings. The worst has been at Ajeel (situated near the center of the map below), the IEA says, where bombing in August reduced its take to just 2,000 barrels a day, or 10% of what the field was producing until then.

IEA

Still to be hit, according to the IEA: Najma and Qayara (south of Mosul on the map), Himreen (south of Kirkuk) and Balad (just north of Baghdad). Together, they continue to produce about 10,000 barrels of oil a day.

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