Skip to navigationSkip to content

After a looooong decline, Japan is having more babies

Reuters/Kim Kyung-Hoon
Heavy lifting for Japan’s youth.
By Jason Karaian
Published Last updated This article is more than 2 years old.

Of all the challenges facing Japan’s sluggish economy, the most daunting one is demographic. The country’s aging, shrinking population is a drag on growth and a strain on the budget. That’s why prime minister Shinzo Abe has made boosting the country’s low fertility rate a key policy goal, alongside the aggressive monetary and fiscal stimulus that has become known as “Abenomics.”

The signs suggest it’s sort of working:

Japan’s fertility rate has reached a 20-year high, according to data released today (May 23). That said, Japan’s average of 1.46 births per woman last year is still pretty low in the international rankings.

Around 2,000 more babies were born in Japan last year than the year before, but that just means that 2015 was the second-lowest annual total in the post-war era. This isn’t enough to stabilize its population, which is projected to shrink to 80 million people by the end of the century, from 127 million today.

Abe’s goal is to boost the country’s fertility rate to 1.8 children per woman, which would bring Japan in line with the US and UK. How? A faster-growing economy helps, as do specific initiatives to boost wages and make the country’s workplaces more inviting to women, especially when it comes to maternity and anti-harassment policies.

More immigration would help, too, but in insular Japan that is seen as a step too far.

📬 Kick off each morning with coffee and the Daily Brief (BYO coffee).

By providing your email, you agree to the Quartz Privacy Policy.