What to watch for today
A big week for the global economy begins. Surveys getting at the pulse of the Asian, European, South American, and US manufacturing sectors all come out today. Early numbers from China are encouraging, with manufacturing growth hitting an 11-month high, though slightly below expectations.
A new, tougher regulator for Britain’s banks. The Financial Conduct Authority takes over from the Financial Services Authority. Post-Libor, the FCA seems set on being both more aggressive in pursuing malfeasance and more inventive about how to find it.
Is Argentina heading for default? The country is in a standoff with a US court that ordered it to pay the full $1.3 billion it owes to a subset of its bondholders. With an instalment of the money due on Sunday, Argentina could end up in arrears today unless there’s a last-minute compromise.
India’s supreme court rules on cancer drug. In what is expected to be a landmark verdict, India will decide whether a cancer drug from Novartis deserves a patent. A “no” would mean cheaper drugs for poor people but could hurt India’s reputation for defending intellectual property rights.
It’s April Fool’s Day. And also, thanks to Easter, a holiday in much of Europe.
Over the weekend
Nomura went on a hiring spree. The financial-services firm recruited 650 fresh graduates, more than it has for the past four years, indicating renewed confidence in the economy. A quarterly business-confidence survey from the central bank also showed (paywall) increased levels of optimism.
More bad news from Italy’s oldest bank. Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena has quietly admitted that customers have pulled out “a few billion euros” in deposits in the wake of awful fourth-quarter results and an ongoing fraud investigation.
Bird flu returned. A new deadly strain was found in Shanghai, from a virus not previously known to infect humans.
Airlines went up, down, and around. Qantas and Emirates celebrated their new alliance by flying two A380s over Sydney as bookings in Australia’s flag-carrier went up. Spring Airlines, a Chinese low-budget carrier, suspended expansion to Japan over political squabbles, while the outgoing chief of Air France-KLM complained about (paywall) the unfair advantages of state-supported airlines from the Gulf.
More fighting talk from North Korea. The US pledged more shows of force (paywall) after North Korea threatened to start a nuclear war. But there are some good reasons not to worry, at least not too much.
A vote of no confidence in the euro. IMF data showed that emerging-market central banks have been dumping the euro (paywall) from their reserves, cutting their collective holdings by 8%.
Apple was denied a trademark for the iPad Mini. The US patent office said the name of the smaller product did not “create a unique, incongruous, or non-descriptive meaning“.
Quartz obsession interlude
Christopher Mims on the one reason a Facebook phone, due to be unveiled this week, might make sense: “Facebook, with its experience in making customized Android phones and its many deep connections with carriers in emerging markets, will be perfectly positioned to start offering customers an all-in-one text, calling and social networking experience that could make sense in a way that it doesn’t, presently, in rich countries.” Read more here.
Matters of debate
Can China’s Lenovo beat Apple? Close, but no cigar.
Trouble in Egypt, thanks to currency shortages. As food prices skyrocket and big cities experience electrical blackouts, economists say there’s a shortage of hard currency.
Be sceptical when big executives take pay cuts. They’re not as painful as they sometimes seem.
Is there a real-estate bubble in Brazil? It has the fastest-rising housing prices in the world.
The Chinese are running out of place to bury their dead. Fortunately, there’s plenty of sea.
Protesting a Google Doodle. Some Americans wanted bunnies or Jesus on Google’s homepage on Easter Sunday, not labor hero Cesar Chavez.
No one really needed Cyprus. There are plenty of other tax havens.
The Senate barbershop where you can get “the John Kerry.”
Procurement fights over the best airline toilet. It takes top tech to stand up to passengers who flush dentures, underwear, and blankets (paywall).
Correction: A previous version of this post said that bird flu had been found in Hong Kong. It is actually Shanghai. Sorry.
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