"PLATFORM" VS "APP"

The evolution of startups, told through an analysis of thousands of company bios

By itself, the company bio of a startup doesn’t make for great reading.

But in aggregate, company descriptions reveal important trends in Silicon Valley. Do founders still aspire to create the next big app? How big is “big data” now compared to five years ago?

To answer these these questions, we turned to the data of CB Insights. CB Insights aggregates and analyzes enormous amounts of data to help answer strategic questions about the future of investing. The data includes the descriptions of thousands of companies that received venture capital investment since 2010.

We decided to examine the descriptions of these companies to get a better look into the ever-changing startup landscape. We used natural language processing to identify trends by looking at which words are more or less common today than at the beginning of the decade.

We found that social media, mobile apps, and email startups are on their way out, while messaging, healthcare, tools, and artificial intelligence are gaining momentum. By and large, startup descriptions are tech-heavy, featuring words like “app,” “cloud,” and “network.” Our data also shows that no word has seen a bigger jump in usage than “virtual reality” and no word a bigger decline than “electronics.”

* * *

We began our analysis by looking for the most popular words used in company descriptions since 2010. The following table shows the 25 most common words and the percentage of company descriptions that contain that word. (We ignored words like the, are, and extremely.)

from original
(Data source: CB Insights)

Development words like “app,” “platform,” “users,” and “mobile” dominate the list. Tech words like “system,” “software,” and “device” aren’t far behind. Healthcare words (“health” and “provider”) can be seen at the bottom of the list.

But the popularity of these words—and the types of businesses they reflect—have not been stable over time. So which words are becoming more or less common?

When we identified keywords whose use is declining, the first trend we noted was a significant decline in the appearance of social media-related keywords. This includes Facebook, Twitter, and terms like “share” and “friends.”

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(Data source: CB Insights)

The use of the word “social” dropped from 12% of company descriptions to about 4% over the past six years. It may be that the space is too crowded for social startups to thrive.

Most users access social networks from a mobile app, and our analysis also suggests that fewer founders are creating apps.

from original
(Data source: CB Insights)

In 2012 and 2013, the “app craze” resulted in nearly 30% of startup descriptions referring to an app. Between 2010 and 2012, the number of apps in the Apple Store jumped from 120,000 to 500,000 apps. In the Google Play Store, that number rocketed from 30,000 to 400,000 apps. From its peak in 2013, the use of the word “app” fell to being mentioned in less than 25% of company descriptions in 2016.

Along with social media and apps, we found that fewer startups focus on email.

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(Data source: CB Insights)

In 2013, over 3% of the companies in our dataset had the word “email” in their description. By 2016, it was less than 2%.

What’s replacing email? “Messaging” and “Slack.” Both of those words have seen a large increase since 2010. (Slack was not a company in 2010, so its one mention in that year was unrelated to the software.)

While the concept of an instant message isn’t new, its application in the workplace is. And in many ways, American startups are chasing the example of Chinese companies like WeChat, which turned messaging into an e-commerce juggernaut.

What’s in? Biotech & AI

By 2029, 20% of the United States’ population will be over the age of 65. So it’s no surprise that venture capitalists are increasingly funding healthcare startups.

healthcare startups graph
(Data source: CB Insights)

Health-related words like “cancer” and “patients” have experienced growth, alongside “biotechnology” and “therapy.” Scientists seem to be flocking to startups.

Along with health, words related to advanced data mining are also on the rise.

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(Data source: CB Insights)

Prior to 2012, startups rarely described themselves as tackling “artificial intelligence,” “deep learning,” or “machine learning.” But today, nearly 5% of venture-backed companies do. The appearance of the term “Artificial intelligence” has seen a particularly large recent increase—almost tripling from 2015 to 2016.

* * *

So far we have looked at trends in the appearance of words related to certain topics. But which words—and the types of companies they represent—saw the largest increases and declines?

The following table shows the forty words that saw the largest relative increase in usage from 2010 to 2016.

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(Data source: CB Insights)

In 2010, the term “virtual reality” mainly appeared in science fiction—not the bios of companies receiving significant venture funding. But by 2016, “virtual reality” could be found in 1% of company descriptions in our dataset.

Other fast growing terms include “machine learning” and “natural language”—terms most commonly used in the data science community. “Ingredients” is the fourth fastest growing term—a result of the increase in food-related startups.

This next table shows the words that saw the largest decrease.

from original
(Data source: CB Insights)

The word “electronics” went from appearing in more than 2% of all company descriptions in 2010 to almost none in 2016. It seems that with an increasing focus on data mining, health, and software services, fewer companies describe themselves as working on hardware.

“Twitter” (sixth), “Facebook” (21st), and the term “social media” (34th) all appear on this list. The usage of each in company descriptions fell by more than 65%. This signals the shift away from startups trying to develop the next Instagram or Snapchat—that landscape may already be saturated.

* * *

If growth areas in the startup industry depict the future, what does that future look like?

It looks like social media, email, and mobile apps may cede the stage to startups that address healthcare, messaging, and artificial intelligence. Long live our chatty, robot doctors!

This piece originally appeared at Priceonomics.

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