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Waymo to Start First Driverless Car Service Next Month

Waymo to Start First Driverless Car Service Next Month

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Contributions

  • I believe Waymo can dominate the self-driving or Autonomous vehicle industry given their early lead in developing the technology and clear advantages with miles driven. My model has them generating $5B in revenues in 2025 at a 15-20% operating margin on ride-hailing and licensing revenue. By 2030, Waymo

    I believe Waymo can dominate the self-driving or Autonomous vehicle industry given their early lead in developing the technology and clear advantages with miles driven. My model has them generating $5B in revenues in 2025 at a 15-20% operating margin on ride-hailing and licensing revenue. By 2030, Waymo could generate $30B in revenue. I value Waymo at at $60B.

  • People fret about robots killing humans but don’t realize that its already happening.

    When a driverless car crashes and kills passengers, that’s exactly what is going on.

    However, robots kill humans a much lower rate than humans. So killer robots might not be such a bad thing.

  • It took a 100+ years to disrupt the modern taxi industry. Now the ride-sharing industry is being disrupted in 10 years. Is it too early to pre-order a flying car for next Christmas?

  • The bar for success for this will be insanely high. Car backs into a bike? Shut it down. Conveniently ignore the thousands of bikes backed into every day by human drivers...

  • What does it say about me that I am so resistant to this? That I’m old? That I’m, like Candy, a control freak? Wooden headed? A conspiracy-theorist nut job? I don’t even want Wi-Fi in my non-autonomous car, I’m so afraid someone will hack it and drive me off a cliff. Maybe I’m just a good old-fashioned Luddite.

  • Waymo might start by offering shuttle services in self-contained retirement communities, where the speed limit is low and the likelihood of crashing is tiny. Slowly, overtime, Waymo will move to riskier and more challenging use cases. The last frontier is the open freeway system for regular drivers

    Waymo might start by offering shuttle services in self-contained retirement communities, where the speed limit is low and the likelihood of crashing is tiny. Slowly, overtime, Waymo will move to riskier and more challenging use cases. The last frontier is the open freeway system for regular drivers.

    Tesla is taking the opposite approach. They’re starting with a minimal viable autopilot solution and offering it to its existing user base as an upgrade. Slowly, overtime, Tesla will build up data and upgrade its autopilot to riskier and riskier use cases. Eventually, it plans to launch a fully autonomous driving product.

    Waymo uses Lidar, an ugly but safe autonomous driving technology, to sell to enterprise customers.

    Tesla uses Cameras, a sleek and unnoticeable autonomous driving technology, to sell to consumers.

    This is not a winner takes all market.

  • I want to like this. I really do. I watched the Jetsons as a kid and thought the future looked so fun ( also why I agree that a flying car is next) . But, I don’t like riding in a car when another person is driving, much less when no person is driving. Driverless cars are not built for control freaks

    I want to like this. I really do. I watched the Jetsons as a kid and thought the future looked so fun ( also why I agree that a flying car is next) . But, I don’t like riding in a car when another person is driving, much less when no person is driving. Driverless cars are not built for control freaks. So I want to like this but I can’t. However. I would most surely invest in it. Its time is here.

  • Its a perfect time for self-driving technology, and as predicted by Lyft, by 2025 self-driving may be a dominant mode of transportation on the roads.

  • While Elon Musk is still sticking to his “no-LiDAR” theory, Waymo is the clear leader on the other side of things. Launching a service ahead of Cruise seems like one of their core goals and it looks like they’ll achieve that goal in the next few months!

  • I really, really don’t think we’re ready for this yet.

  • I had always figured that Alphabet would treat self-driving tech like Android and sell the operating system to manufacturers. It can obviously still do that, but it feels like its ambitions here are bigger than it has with the Pixel phone.

  • While I’m not getting in one of these things any time soon, we also can’t be too dismissive of a technology before it has had time to mature. We need more data to train them on and more mistakes to be made before our fantasies can become realities. (That doesn’t mean I think they’re safe yet—but I do

    While I’m not getting in one of these things any time soon, we also can’t be too dismissive of a technology before it has had time to mature. We need more data to train them on and more mistakes to be made before our fantasies can become realities. (That doesn’t mean I think they’re safe yet—but I do think they will be... eventually.)

  • I wonder how the car would react to road rage and other standard driving ‘techniques’

  • I want to ride a driverless car.

    Do I have to drive myself when anything trouble occurred?

  • And who gets the first ride?

  • Hopefully train-overcrowding issue will be solved.

  • "Hep Taxi !“ No more driver to hear you …

  • I’ll pass, thanks. There are way too many things that can go wrong. Besides, I still enjoy driving my own vehicle.