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By 43% to 38% Britons want MPs to vote to against a Brexit delay | YouGov

By 43% to 38% Britons want MPs to vote to against a Brexit delay | YouGov

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  • What a politically charged subject! Latest data suggests British people don't want a delay to leaving the EU. Although amongst remainers (those who wanted to stay in the EU) there is a very strong desire for an extension as they believe this might result in a second referendum and the UK staying.

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    What a politically charged subject! Latest data suggests British people don't want a delay to leaving the EU. Although amongst remainers (those who wanted to stay in the EU) there is a very strong desire for an extension as they believe this might result in a second referendum and the UK staying.

    I predicted the result of the UK referendum in 2016. My personal stance was always that the UK is an amazingly creative economy with resourceful people and far reaching soft power in the world. It could succeed within the EU or outside the EU (independent South Korea as a small economy does pretty well for a small economy). But an exit would require good leadership and a vision. A statesman or woman would need to emerge. Thus far this hasn't happened so there WILL be dislocation if they go through with Brexit. Financial markets and the economy will be affected and pain inflicted until there is a vision.

    The new vision must include a harmonious partnership with Europe. There are many shared values between the UK and the other EU nations. The UK could operate in many European wide schemes and institutions a la nations like Switzerland.

    If Brexit is cancelled and the UK remains, it's really going to be necessary for there to be a vision as well, for both the UK in the EU and the EU itself. Too much focus is being placed on the act of Brexit itself and not the failings of the EU. What is the new EU narrative. George Soros and others are urging the EU to wake up at the moment. There is a unique opportunity and Europe does have fantastic resources, but it also has a dysfunctional macroeconomic arrangement. We seem to go from crisis to crisis. I'm a proud global citizen, European and Englishman. I support Team Human first and foremost. I see desirable outcomes via multiple paths. Staying in a reformed and revisions EU is one of them. But a course reverse must be explained to the country, it is no good for the urban elites to continue to patronise the stupid people living in the rural areas. (Personal view, they're smarter than you think!).

    Longer term, there are bigger questions I look at as a futurist.

    Should the EU become more centralised in order to strengthen its macroprudential abilities and geopolitical clout in the world? EU bonds and an EU army? Or is humanity now pointing in the opposite direction with more decentralised tech and organisational structures that are ecological and bottom up, proving EF Schumacher right that Small is Beautiful? Of course it might not be mutually exclusive, perhaps the nation state diminishes in importance and power moves down to the people and to supranational bodies like the EU and UN. Certainly cities are going to be increasingly important in my view. Direct deals and collaborations will naturally happen between London and other important cities around the world. They are already happening on important issues such as the ecological crisis.

    If I look at the possibility of new federations and collaborations which could emerge in a post Brexit world, it's quite conceivable that the UK joins an English speaking alliance which would include the Five Eyes countries (US,UK, Canada, Australia and NZ)? They already extensively share their intelligence apparatus. There are also important groupings emerging across Eurasia.

    But I am also fearful we are , shorter term, entering a more fragmented world. Americans are going to have to get pre approval to go to the Schengen area of Europe soon. And there are legitimate fears, espoused by Eric Smidt in his last book, that the internet will break into a number of groupings.

    Too much to explore in a short comment! Main point is, this is so much more than just Brexit. As in everything, one should explore the bigger context and ecosystems in which events transpire. And learn to dialogue with, and not shout at, people with alternative views and scenarios. It's just not how we are educated. Easier to fixate on a binary outcome..

    I'm focused on Team Human.