🌍 ​​​​Ukraine willing to be neutral

🌍 ​​​​Ukraine willing to be neutral

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Here’s what you need to know

​​​​Ukraine is willing to be neutral. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy made the remarks Sunday in a video call with Russian journalists, but any peace deal would need third-party sign off and a referendum, Reuters reported. Meanwhile, US president Joe Biden said Vladimir Putin “cannot remain in power,” though the White House later walked back those remarks.

Shanghai will lock down. Most businesses in the financial hub will be closed in two separate stages to test for covid as cases spike.

Prices spiked in Japan. Tokyo’s consumer price index jumped the fastest since 2019, due in part to a 26.1% increase in energy prices.

Second black box found in China Eastern Airlines crash. The flight data recorder was located yesterday, possibly shedding light on the cause of the crash of Flight 5735.

China and India had post-conflict diplomatic talks. The two countries held their first high-level meeting over the 2020 border conflict in the Himalayas that led to the death of Chinese and Indian soldiers.

BBC News went off air in Afghanistan. The organization said its TV partners were ordered by the Taliban to take down international broadcasts.


What to watch for

Normal trading of shares and bonds will resume today on Russia’s stock market during a shortened time window of 9:50am to 1:50pm Moscow time, the Russian central bank confirmed (link in Russian). However, non-residents will still be unable to trade or sell stocks and bonds until April 1.

Russia’s stock market reopened to limited trading last Thursday, with only 33 stocks available for trading, after being closed for roughly a month following the invasion of Ukraine. On Feb. 24, the day Russia invaded Ukraine, the Moscow stock exchange (MOEX) plunged by 33%. Soon after, the ruble dipped to a record low against the dollar.

Ongoing peace talks have stoked optimism that the conflict may soon end, but the Russian stock market, worth about $400 billion, remains in a fragile state even as trading resumes.


Does the US have gas to give?

Europe has a Russia-sized hole in its natural gas supply, and the US wants to help fill it. The US agreed to give the EU another 15 billion cubic meters of liquified natural gas by the end of this year.

It’s a nice political gesture, but the US liquified natural gas exports are maxed out. In February, US gas exports hit a record of 13.3 billion cubic feet per day, the first time that all seven terminals in the country were fully docked by tankers at once.

It takes years to build new export infrastructure, so it’s not clear how the US can meet its near-term promise to Europe other than asking customers like China and Japan to resell some of their American liquified natural gas to Europe. Long-term, European buyers are already signing advance contracts with the US.

A line graph showing US liquified natural gas exports from 2015 to 2022. In 2015, it was near zero cubic feet per day. By 2022, it had gone up to nearly 12 billion cubic feet per day.

Here come the carbon accountants

As Europe shifts away from Russian gas, whether through imports or renewables, any reliance on burning fuel will mean more carbon emissions—which countries increasingly want to track. In the US, companies face new rules to disclose their climate change risks. But the biggest gold rush could be for climate accountants. ✦ Try membership free for a week to read our predictions on this trend and more.

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