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Create your own “Game of Thrones” season 8 death pool for episode 4

This pool has closed. You can make your predictions for episode five, here.

Episode 3 of Game of Thrones saw the Battle of Winterfell come and go, and (to many watchers’ surprise) take precious few characters with it. While “The Long Night” did not disappoint as far as battle sequences go, viewers primed for the HBO show’s blasé butchery of their favorite characters—especially after the misty-eyed previous episode—were spared some pain.

The army of the dead is presumably defeated. But there are still three more episodes left, and at least one more confrontation involving the story’s new chief villain, Cersei Lannister (RIP, Night King). In other words, plenty of time for more death to come.

Welcome to Quartz’s Game of Thrones Death Pool. Now is the time to lay your bets upon who is most likely going to kick the bucket next. To consider: Which character has nearly completed their redemption arc or storyline? Who stands a real chance of sitting on the Iron Throne? Have the Night King and his White Walkers really been defeated after planning to make their move for some 8,000 years? And who’s still left on Arya Stark’s kill list?

To keep things simple for our death pool, we have stuck to 10 of the show’s primary characters—those who have been with us since the early episodes of the show. Who is most likely to survive to see spring?

The pool for episode four has closed. Let’s see if you can predict accurately for episode five.

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