The lower expectations of inflation seem to have been driven by a massive drop in what Americans are predicting for future house prices. In October, Americans thought home prices would move up by 2%, and now they think home prices will move up by a little more than 1%.

At the same time, Americans also think their raises are only going to hit 2.8% over the next year, while on average they think there is a 42.2% chance that unemployment will be higher this time next year.

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