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Markets

Stocks rise and oil falls on hopes of an end to Iran war

Futures pointed to strong gains after a report that the two countries were close to an agreement, though Trump later cast doubt on the outcome

By Cris Tolomia·2 min read·Updated May 6, 2026
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Stocks rise and oil falls on hopes of an end to Iran war

Bloomberg / Getty Images

U.S. stock futures climbed Wednesday after a report that the U.S. and Iran were closing in on a deal to end their war, while oil prices fell on hopes the conflict could soon be resolved.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up roughly 505 points, a gain of about 1%, with S&P 500 futures adding 0.9% and Nasdaq $NDAQ 100 futures posting a 1.5% rise. By late morning, the major indexes were trading higher, with the Dow up about 0.73%, the S&P 500 up 0.81%, and the Nasdaq up 1.03%.

The optimism stemmed from a report by CNBC citing Axios that the two countries were approaching a deal that would include a moratorium on nuclear enrichment. Iran was weighing a U.S. proposal aimed at resolving the conflict, an Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson confirmed to CNBC.

Futures pulled back from their highs after President Donald Trump tempered expectations. Trump warned in a Truth Social post that failure to reach an agreement would trigger renewed strikes. "If they don't agree, the bombing starts, and it will be, sadly, at a much higher level and intensity than it was before," he wrote, while also characterizing Iran's acceptance of any deal as "perhaps, a big assumption."

Separately, the administration announced it had put "Project Freedom" — the initiative to escort vessels through the Strait of Hormuz — on hold, with Trump pointing to diplomatic headway with Iran as the reason.

Oil prices dropped on the de-escalation hopes. Trading above $91 a barrel, West Texas Intermediate futures were down around 10%, and Brent crude — the international benchmark — slid roughly 7% to hover near $102 a barrel. Motorists have yet to see any benefit from the easing in crude markets, with AAA data cited by The Wall Street Journal showing the nationwide average for a gallon of regular gasoline holding at $4.54 — well above the sub-$3 level that prevailed before the war.

AMD $AMD shares surged 18% after the company topped first-quarter estimates on both revenue and earnings and offered an optimistic forecast for the months ahead, giving a broader lift to the chip sector. Intel $INTC rose 4%, and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF added 3%.

Overseas markets joined in the advance, according to The Wall Street Journal, with bourses across Asia and Europe both closing higher.

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