Good morning, Quartz readers!
Here’s what you need to know
Investors await an important US jobs report. At 8:30am ET, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the latest data on US employment. It’s being closely watched for signs of the impact of Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion Covid stimulus.
The US and China face off at the UN. The foreign ministers of Security Council member states will meet virtually this morning to discuss how to uphold multilateralism. Their visions are likely to diverge.
Germany rejects the US-backed vaccine patent waivers. Europe’s biggest economy is now at odds with Washington in arguing that patent protection for jabs doesn’t hinder production. Meanwhile, Spain backs the proposal, and EU leaders will debate it at a summit today in Portugal.
UK Conservatives won a major victory. The ruling party carried a constituency that has been held by the opposition Labor Party for 47 years. The results of other important races, including mayor of London, are expected soon.
The world’s biggest brewer is getting a new boss. Anheuser-Busch InBev stocks rose as CEO Carlos Brito announced his departure. The company’s North American business chief will take the reins in July.
An “out-of control” Chinese rocket will land soon. The US Pentagon said it has no plans to shoot down the debris, which American military officials expect to land in the ocean this weekend. China said most of it will likely burn itself up.
German car makers reported soaring business in China. Quarterly sales in China rose 61% for Volkswagen and nearly doubled for BMW. The German manufacturers touted their success in expanding sales of battery and electric vehicles.
Alexei Navalny will get back his “prisoner of conscience” status. Amnesty International will reverse its February decision to strip Russian opposition leader of the title, according to a top aide.
What to watch for
DraftKings, the popular online sports betting platform with 1.5 million users, reports its first-quarter earnings today before the stock market opens in the US. Wall Street expects the company to report revenue of $236 million, which would be double what it generated in the same period last year. That’d be the second straight quarter of DraftKings doubling its revenue year-over-year.
A lot of that has to do with the pandemic. But the larger trend is clear: Online sports betting, which was once seen as taboo in the US, is rapidly going mainstream. Nearly half of US states have now legalized sports betting, and DraftKings is available in 12 of those states, representing 25% of the US population. The company has made deals with virtually every major pro sports league, and could soon be integrated into your TV screen.
Investors are bullish about the daily fantasy sports industry because it’s still so young—and is only going to get bigger. New York announced plans last month to legalize mobile sports betting, while other states are expected to follow soon, despite the potential for future gambling problems experts warn against.
Charting the minimum wage debate
The debate over the wisdom of having a minimum wage remains contentious in Washington DC. Economists have plenty of case studies to test what works best: Twenty-nine states now have a higher minimum wage than the federal government.
🚫 The main argument against a nationwide $15-an-hour minimum wage is that it would make labor too expensive for poorer areas, prompting employers there to shed jobs. As the debate continues, some argue that adjusting the federal minimum wage to local economic conditions would be more appealing to lawmakers than a blanket hike.
📈 A growing amount of research suggests that job shortages wouldn’t be the case, however. Most importantly, the federal minimum wage has not been increased since 2009. While in 1960, the federal minimum wage was roughly half of the median wage, today, it is roughly one-third.
Have you heard?
💻 “Google has traditionally followed Apple’s lead from a privacy standpoint, and particularly since they’re under regulatory pressure as it is, they’re probably going to make moves that put themselves in the best possible light,” —Matt Voda, CEO of adtech firm OptiMine. (Want to know why Google will have to make its own decision for users in Asia and Africa? Read about its grip on the keys to user privacy.)
👶 “Our first focus will be to expand our global fertility footprint.” —Elisabeth Weis, commercial lead on fertility for Organon, a new company being spun off from Merck, during a recent investor day. Merck deprioritized its IVF business several years ago, but opportunities in markets like China will give it renewed focus. (Want to learn more about the business of fertility? We’ve got a field guide for that.)
🧧“There isn’t one country around the world in which we’ve engaged where I don’t think that they’re anticipating a future that isn’t one of a digitized fiat currency.” —PayPal CEO Daniel Schulman, who said shifts in digital behavior that took off during the pandemic are unlikely to fall off in a post-Covid world. (A what currency?? Learn more by reading about China’s push for a digital yuan.)
✦ Keep up with the changing world of business with our members-only field guides. Don’t have a membership? There’s an easy fix for that: try it for free!
You asked about vaccine patent waivers
Will more vaccines be made available now that the US supports vaccine IP waivers?
It’s complicated. President Joe Biden’s declaration of support for the suspension of intellectual property rights on Covid-19 vaccines is a major, even unprecedented step. But it doesn’t guarantee what sort of waivers will eventually be negotiated—or when.
The World Trade Organization (WTO), where the waivers will be hammered out, requires unanimous approval from its members, and at least one major bloc of wealthy nations—the European Union—is as yet undecided.
Next month, India and South Africa, the two countries that have led the call for patent waivers, will circulate a revised proposal of their recommendations to WTO members. Countries will haggle over this draft. Will the waivers be restricted to just the “recipe” for the vaccines? Will big vaccine firms like Pfizer and AstraZeneca get to keep their manufacturing and technical know-how if they wish, rendering the waivers essentially meaningless? Or will governments exercise their power to push their companies into “tech transfer” arrangements?
Additionally, every patented vaccine uses a host of underlying technologies, all of which the manufacturer has licensed from other patent holders. Will a patent waiver for a vaccine automatically include waivers for underlying patents as well?
To discuss and negotiate all of this might take months, trade lawyers said. And the pharma industry will still be pushing to narrow the scope of these waivers as much as possible, writes Samanth Subramanian.
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Surprising discoveries
Scientists trained bees to sniff out Covid-19 infections. The idea is buzzy, but may not be practical.
Sharks navigate using the Earth’s magnetic field. Just how they do it is still a mystery.
Microsoft makes $0 from selling Xboxes. Any profit comes from taking a cut of the games sold on its platform.
Nasdaq’s computers can’t handle Berkshire Hathaway’s soaring stock. They weren’t designed to store such big numbers.
Smell training can lead to better brainstorming. A new workshop explores the link between scent and creativity.
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