šŸŒ Russia and Ukraine are talking

Evacuating

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Hereā€™s what you need to know

Russia and Ukraine are talking. The curfew in Kyiv has been lifted briefly as negotiations take place near the Belarusian border, apparently ā€œwithout preconditions.ā€

Russiaā€™s central bank raised interest rates to 20%. As global sanctions kick in, the ruble is crashing, and crippling hyperinflation could be on its way.

BP is offloading its 20% stake in Rosneft. The British energy giant will take a $25 billion hit as it exits Russiaā€™s oil industry, while Norwayā€™s Equinor followed suit.

Putin invoked Russiaā€™s deadly nuclear capability. The Russian president ordered the military, including specialists in nuclear weapons, to go on ā€œspecial alert.ā€

The EU will allow Ukrainians to enter as refugees. They may not need to formally apply for asylum, a shift in policy compared to other waves of conflict-driven migration. Meanwhile, Germany is re-arming.

Sporting authorities keep refusing to kick Russia out. Several countries led protests, most notably Poland, but the global governing body FIFA responded only by banning the Russian flag.


What to watch for

Over the weekend, the US, EU, and their allies moved to defund Russiaā€™s military efforts by kicking some private banks off the global money transfer system SWIFT, and freezing Russiaā€™s central bank assets. The sanctions are also intended to impede Russian banks from conducting transactions, devalue Russiaā€™s currency, and limit its access to reserve funds abroad (about $300 billion). Itā€™s difficult for Russia to bypass sanctions by using friendly countries to conduct business.

The impact could be huge. With the central bank already raising rates to protect the plunging ruble and prevent hyperinflation, one estimate suggests the SWIFT bans alone could cost Russia 5% of its GDP.

Russia isnā€™t totally cut offā€”itā€™s still allowed to trade natural gas (āœ¦). And while president Vladimir Putin likely wonā€™t personally pay the price, the wealthy oligarchs in his inner circle are under threat.


Mapping Ukraineā€™s internet infrastructure

What if Ukraine gets cut off from the internet?

Itā€™s happened elsewhere, from Cuba to Iran. But though web traffic has fallen (at least part of the drop-off can be explained by Ukrainians fleeing the country), itā€™s unlikely that this will happen in Ukraine.

The physical infrastructure that powers the web in Ukraine is vast, owned by many independent internet service providers, and has several connections to the outside worldā€”thereā€™s no single choke point that an oppressive government could use to snuff out internet access all at once.

A map showing Ukraine's web infrastructure, including many cross-border connections to other countries, especially in the west.
Image: Atracom

In this map of Ukraineā€™s web infrastructure from Ukrainian fiber optic cable company Atracom, the points marked ā€œMā€ represent places where fiber optic cables cross Ukraineā€™s borders and connect the country to the outside world.


Can deepfakes be ethical?

Tom Cruise deep fake conceptual imagery
Image: Photo-illustration by Quartz

Images of explosions and combat in Ukraine have proliferated on social media, but not all of them are real or contextualized. Twitter has removed several videos and captions that have proven to be misleading or downright fake.

In an age of rising misinformation and cyberattacks, deepfakesā€”computer-generated videos that transplant a personā€™s face, voice, and overall likeness onto another bodyā€”are becoming increasingly worrisome, especially if technology is used as hostile political propaganda.

šŸ”® Quartz reporter Scott Nover asked Tom Graham, the co-founder of the company behind Deep Tom Cruise, if a deepfake company can truly be ethical. The interview is part of our Next 10 Years series, which explores how industries marked by rapid change are adapting and evolving.


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Surprising discoveries

Some US bars have stopped using Russian vodka. But theyā€™ll gladly get you drunk on Ukrainian brands.

The US has a lot of leftover covid tests. About 250 million free tests are unclaimed (thank the bullwhip effect for wild swings in demand).

Hank the Tank was framed. The 500-pound (227 kg) bear isnā€™t the sole culprit behind more than 30 home break ins in California.

An auction for offshore wind power set a record in the US. A breezy $4.4 billion worth of turbines was sold off the coast of New York and New Jersey.

Would you spend 10% of your net worth on a wedding? In India, thatā€™s the average, but itā€™s not affordable for most. Find out how the massive parties are paid for in the latest episode of the Quartz Obsession podcast.

šŸ„» Listen on: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google | StitcherĀ 



Our best wishes for a productive day. Send any news, comments, Kyiv mules, and ā€œSave Hank the Tankā€ t-shirts to hi@qz.com. Get the most out of Quartz by downloading our iOS app and becoming a member. Todayā€™s Daily Brief was brought to you by Hasit Shah, NicolĆ”s Rivero, Alexandra Ossola, Scott Nover, and Morgan Haefner.